Perhaps no two established teams in MLS have more questions being asked of them this season than RSL and TFC, can RSL in the 2nd year of Jeff Cassars leadership continue to be a dominant force in the West? Can RSL make the transition to the 4-3-3 work? For TFC can they make the playoffs? Will another year with huge signings and what is likely to be the highest payroll in MLS result in success or will the oft chaos in the organizations leadership lead them to the rocky shore yet again?
It is hard to believe that both of these teams are heading into just their 3rd match of the season but have so very much at stake, it is ridiculous that this match is being played this weekend at all. See both teams had a bye week last week when both teams had full rosters, but no we get a match missing several key players on both side. For RSL there will be no Nick Rimando, no Alvaro Saborio, no Luis Gil, and no Elias Vasquez, and for TFC there will be no Jozy Altidore, no Michael Bradley, no Marky Delgado, no Quillan Roberts, and no Chris Mannella, all on national team call ups. Then add in the injuries to Joao Plata, and Pecka on the RSL side, and Steven Caldwell, Mark Bloom, Eriq Zavaleta, on the TFC side which will also deal with the suspension of Justin Morrow. The reality is this match will be played with 11 combined likely starters missing between the two squads, and that is never a good thing and probably has the folks at Fox scratching their heads as this is their prestige national TV match for the weekend.
Still the match is going to be played, and the match is a hugely important one for both sides, as RSL are looking for their first win of the season after a pair of draws in their first two matches of the season. Toronto will be looking to figure out which team they really are, the one that dominated in their opening match a 3-1 win over a improved Vancouver side or the one that got handled 2-0 at Columbus?
After a 0-0 draw at Portland last weekend, RSL will look to secure 3 important points at home Saturday night against the Philadelphia Union. Yes, I called these important points, the reality is the Eastern Conference is the weaker conference in MLS so every time RSL faces a Eastern Conference team at home 3 points are important and against a Union team that is really still looking for an identity and were very unimpressive at home in week 1, the points are very important.
The Union picked up a couple of DP’s last year to boost their roster, former USMNT player Maurice Edu to be their defensive leader and Cristian Maidana to be their offensive leader, they added a 3rd DP in forward Fernando Aristeguieta who is on loan to them, but if you watched their match last week against the Rapids, you saw a team that still has more questions than answers on the pitch. It is to be expected as Jim Curtin continues building the team he wants, I believe they have a lot of interesting pieces on their roster but as a team they seem to still be more interested in no losing than in winning matches. They will be looking for their first ever win over RSL they are 0-2-5 in matches against RSL, and are 0-2-1 at Rio Tinto Stadium.
For Real Salt Lake, the transition to the 4-3-3 continues and as we saw often in the Desert Diamond Cup and last weekend in Portland, that formation can mean a lot of frantic action on both sides of the ball. Or does it just look that way? RSL had the edge in possession, overall they had a passing completion rate of 76% (a bit low for traditional RSL) but they 364 to 297 edge in passes over Portland. Where the formation may have fallen short of expectations was on the offensive side, where RSL managed 9 shots (Portland had 18) but only had 2 on goal. If RSL is going to be a more offensive team with this new formation, those numbers will have to go up.
It came down to the wire, but a new CBA has been agreed to, so the MLS season can get under way. What exactly does that mean for RSL heading into the 2015 season?
With some big off-season changes both in the front office as well as on the pitch, this clearly is now Dell Loy’s team with his choice for coach Jeff Cassar entering his second season and Craig Waibel as the Technical Director in place. So what are your expectations for RSL heading into the 2015 season? Remember this year we will see MLS action, CCL action, USOC action, as well as the addition of USL Pro side Real Monarchs, construction of a new stadium for them, the possible addition of a NWSL team, that is a whole lot of soccer (and yes we love it).
So let’s start with the bread and butter of RSL, the regular season, over the last 5 years 3 clubs in MLS have been the definition of regular season success, the LA Galaxy, the Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake. For the last 5 years both LA and RSL have won at least 15 matches and ended with at least 50 points, Seattle has done it the last 4 seasons. RSL has made the playoffs every season since 2008, the longest active streak in MLS.
So most of us in our lives have had several jobs, for me I have many in several different fields in several different states and for varying lengths of time. As I think about what MLS players face it really does seem as if the current system (unique from almost every other sports league in the world) is horribly wrong. Even in this day of NDA’s and No Compete clauses, the following simply would not be acceptable to any worker, so there is no reason why MLS players should have to deal with scenarios like this:
Imagine that you were working at company A but you really wanted to go to work for company B, but you could only do that if company A said you could and company B was willing to give company A something in return, and then that could only happen if company C agreed to let it happen. Or if you were working at company A and they decided they didn’t want you as an employee anymore so they let you go, you found another company that wanted to hire you but if they were in the same industry in the same country that company A had to agree to let you work there, would again want some type of compensation and again company C would have to approve it. Now you could leave the country and go work for company D, but if you ever came back to the US and wanted to work for company B, you would still need the permission of company A, who would probably want some type of compensation and you would need to involve company C. Of course all of this is subjective to if company C wants those rules to apply or not, you could find that company C wants you to work for company E and while you don’t want to work for them, your ability to choose is limited to what company C decides.
MLS was formed using a single entity, in part so owners could partner together to minimized potential losses and in larger part to allow for controlled costs. As players were signed, they were signed by MLS who then determined or approved where that player would play and to be honest that probably was needed in 1996 and was probably still needed 10 years later, but since 2005 the league has grown, expansion teams, new DP level contracts and now heading into the 20th season the league is in a very different position. The players know this, they have had enough of Don Garber claiming the league and teams are $100 million in debt while the league had no problem shelling out over $30 million in transfer fees and salaries for just 2 players last year, or in a season when two new teams that paid more than $150 million combined to join the league, or in a year that will see the start of their new much more financially rewarding TV deal. So when Don and others step up on their soapboxes against Free Agency saying it would drive up salaries, everyone rolls their eyes. See Don and the owners have had no problem spending huge amounts of money for their big name DP’s so the average salary has climbed in response to that, but the reality is rather simple.
So for the last decade I have watched with keen interest as several attempts to bring a Major League Soccer team to Las Vegas have come and gone, rarely have they gotten as far or been as serious as the latest efforts. Still I feel that when the city council votes on Wednesday they will kill the dream, it has been interesting watching this latest round of circumstances in Vegas as for the first time they actually had a chance to make it work.
I guess I should start with this, I would love to see MLS have a team in Las Vegas, I may not live in Las Vegas but I love that city for so many reasons. There are few places on earth where people can go and be able to do so many things no matter the date on the calendar or time on the clock. In the last 30 years I have moved to Las Vegas twice, and each time I end up with a job that after a couple years moves me away from the city. I make several trips a year down to Vegas since settling in Salt Lake City, sometimes for conventions, sometimes for work, but most often just to get away and relax. Few cities can offer the world class rooms, food, entertainment, and shopping that Vegas can, adding MLS to that mix would make it even more attractive to me.
So I have had a lot of people ask me over the years why I am so passionate about a MLS team going to Las Vegas, and while some of it is clearly selfish (an easy away match for a RSL fan like me to attend) the bigger part of it is that over the years I have seen what a MLS team has done to Salt Lake City and I believe it would do even more in Las Vegas.
So today Major League Soccer announced the winner of Keeper of the Year, the vote went in favor of DC United’s Bill Hamid:
2014 Allstate Goalkeeper of the Year: Bill Hamid – D.C. United
Bill Hamid had a breakthrough season between the pipes for D.C. United in 2014, his fifth season with the club. Hamid was one of the key components of D.C.’s amazing comeback in which the team claimed the top spot in the Eastern Conference after setting a league-worst record in 2013. This year, Hamid recorded the most minutes of his career for D.C. United with 2,700, and set regular season career highs with 10 shutouts and 110 saves. The Virginia native finished second in league shutouts, three behind Vancouver’s David Ousted, and recorded the second-best goals against average with a 1.13 average among goalkeepers that played more than 2000 minutes. Hamid’s success did not go unnoticed, as he went on to earn his second-ever cap for the U.S. men’s national team, playing a full 90 minutes in the Americans’ 4-1 loss to Republic of Ireland on Nov. 18.
The Allstate Goalkeeper of the Year award was voted on by media, MLS players and MLS club management based on regular season performance. The other two finalists were Real Salt Lake’s Nick Rimando and Columbus Crew SC’s Steve Clark. Below is a breakdown of the voting for the top four candidates:
So I get that things like this in part are a popularity contest, there is also the fact that Salt Lake is a small market and yes that often plays a role in votes like this.
So with two team entering MLS in 2015 it is time again for one of the most stressful times for fans, players and staffs of MLS teams, it is no different for Real Salt Lake. In fact with former coach Jason Kreis in charge of one of the expansion sides NYCFC, maybe it is a bit more stressful, this time around as most of the players on our roster are guys that he knows well and many of them are guys he brought to RSL. It should come as no surprise that he has already signed former RSL backup keeper Josh Saunders and former RSL defender Kwame Watson-Siriboe and I expect he will be looking to add more.
One other major fact in the stress levels heading into this expansion draft are the many unknowns of that the roster rules and salary cap might look like next season, with the CBA between the players and league expiring a couple weeks after the expansion draft. There is one thing that should reduce the stress level of RSL fans, the reality is that we can only lose two players via the expansion draft, I guess that is an upside.
So the current RSL roster has 29 players on it, according to the MLS website, but I believe the reality is that Sebastian Saucedo’s HGP deal doesn’t actually kick in until 2015. So if the rules are same as the last couple of expansion drafts, HGP (Home Grown Players) are exempt, so for RSL that would mean the following players are automatically protected:
- Jordan Allen
- Lalo Fernandez
- Justen Glad
- Benjamin Lopez
- Sebastian Saucedo
So either way that leaves 24 players that would be eligible for the expansion draft pool. Current Generation Adidas players are also automatically protected, Luis Gil used to be on the Generation Adidas roster, but I believe he graduated the program a couple years ago.
In the past teams have been allowed to protect 11 players, and when a player is taken a team gets to add another player to their protected list. If a designated player has a no-trade clause that player has to be protected (at least according to the last rules). There are some other additional rules, such as players who are out of contract still have to be protected if you want to keep them but just protecting them doesn’t mean you have to re-sign them. At a high level that is what we know about what will likely be the rules for the expansion draft.
So I started writing this blog post on Sunday night, but I wasn’t sure why I was writing it, until today. I posted that I was pulling for New England to win MLS Cup, there are several reasons but the top one is I think they have an incredible team and I love the style of soccer they have been playing since Jermaine Jones was signed and how it has in large part freed up Lee Nguyen to become the player he is capable of being.
Of course having an opinion on twitter can be dangerous as people started to criticize me because if New England wins MLS Cup Real Salt Lake won’t end up with a Champions League spot. They are right, RSL only gets into the tournament if LA or Seattle win, and we will get their 2nd spot by default since both have already qualified. I went on to say that I didn’t want RSL to be in Champions League next year, because I don’t believe we can win it. The reality is everything that follows is why I don’t want us in that tournament, and in part why I don’t think we can win it. Simply we aren’t good enough, and while the 5-0 loss on Sunday was an anomaly where we played perhaps our worst match of the season and LA played one of their best, the reality is that we simply weren’t good enough to beat them and I don’t think continuing to do what we have in large part done for the last 5 years is the way we get good enough to beat them, to beat anyone who gets in our way of the trophies we should all be passionate about getting.
None of this means I don’t love RSL, or our players but sports is not a place where blind devotion should replace logic or common sense, it shouldn’t be a place where passion replaces intelligence. Being critical actually is a way to show how much you care, because you want, and expect more, you know that better is within reach. You may not agree with me, hell I don’t blame you if you don’t but my opinion is just as valid as those of fans who have for years hated on Saborio, Findley or any other RSL player who doesn’t live up to their expectations. I have so much respect for the guys who play for RSL, because they in large part define what RSL is about, they have lived “The Team is the Star” and they have embraced the idea of the RSL Family. Still we are left with some hard facts and some hard choices, is being consistently good, good enough?
There is little doubt that Landon Donovan is the best player in MLS history, he probably is the best American soccer player to date, and while many fans are torn about him, cheering him in the red, white and blue of the USMNT, while booing him when he is in the various colors of the LA Galaxy, the reality is that love or hate him, everyone respects him. On Sunday Real Salt Lake will look to end his MLS career, and given the history between these two teams over the years both in the regular season and post season it could go either way. In regular season action RSL is 6-8-1 in matches played in LA, a 0-1 loss at StubHub Center in July was the balance for a 1-0 win by RSL there on opening weekend of the 2014 season.
All time these two teams are tied at 11-11-7, after the 0-0 draw last weekend at Rio Tinto Stadium. These two are frequent opponents in the post season, in 2009 it was a PK shootout win for RSL at MLS Cup, in 2011 LA beat RSL in the Western Conference Finals on their way to a MLS Cup win, and last year it was RSL with 2-1 aggregate win in the Conference semifinals on their way to another MLS Cup appearance. So Sunday will be two teams so very familiar with each other than winning or losing is often a matter of inches, shots off the framework or of the fingers of diving keepers are the norm, and it could likely come down to who can punish the other team’s mistakes. RSL have a bit of momentum despite the draw at home, they finished the regular season with two wins and a draw, while the Galaxy finished it with a draw and two losses. RSL gave up just a single goal in their 4 matches in October, while the Galaxy gave up 6, which was very unusual for the Galaxy who ended the regular season with an insane +32 goal differential as the league’s top scoring team with 69 goals scored, and tied for the league’s best defense with just 37 goals allowed. The Galaxy were mighty good at home with a 12-1-4 record, their only loss was opening day to RSL, the amassed 44 goals at home while only giving up 14 goals for a +30 home goal differential.
So what will Real Salt Lake need to do in order to get past the Galaxy and on to the Western Conference Finals for the 5th time in the last seven years (08 ,09, 11, 13)?
Yes I do realize it has been over 4 months since I last finished a blog post, part of the reason is a general “MEH” towards MLS and part of it has been the “MEH” that has been RSL the last 4 months. Yeah I still love our team and our guys, but there has been little to be excited about the last few months. We are 8-7-4 since that last blog post, and heck 4 of those wins even came against playoff bound teams, but this year we sit with a 14-8-11 record, yeah after that 6-1-7 start we have been rather “MEH” and sure we can explain a bunch of it. Injuries, call-ups, and so forth, but reality is that standard is higher and for me that is the 15 win and 50 point mark for the regular season. We could get there Wednesday if we can find a way to beat Chivas USA, something we haven’t done yet this year, but even that might not be enough to get us out of the “wildcard” playoff game. Yikes, who would have thought after a 6-0-6 start, that we would end up here, not me.
So yeah, I have avoided saying much online the last couple of months, but I thought I would put forth some thoughts about our match against Chivas USA, what ends up being a huge match with lots of possible implications (most of which are out of our hands). A win would jump us back to 3rd place in the West and depending on what happens in FCD vs POR this weekend could help us avoid the “wildcard” and a short turnaround to the actual playoffs. If we end up in 4th we will face either Portland or Vancouver, and neither of those are sure things or anything close to it this year. We are 1-1-1 against Portland with a 1-0 win at home, a 3-1 loss (yeah the last match I wrote about) and just last week a 0-0 draw in Portland, none of which are confidence building results. Then there is Vancouver, 0-1-2 with both home matches ending in draws for RSL (2-2 & 1-1) and a 2-1 loss in Vancouver a couple of week ago, again my confidence level doesn’t really go up with the prospect of facing them either in a one and done match.